New Survey Shows CT-4 Race a Dead Heat, Tied at 42-42 Percent
Norwalk, CT – Debicella for Congress today released the results of a new poll showing Dan Debicella in a dead heat with Jim Himes, while Dan continues gaining significant ground among key groups of voters.
“Among likely voters, Dan has caught Jim Himes and the race is now a dead heat at 42 to 42 percent,” said Debicella spokeswoman Ashley Maagero. “With just 30 days to go until the election, Jim Himes’ desperate attempts to mislead voters about Dan’s record are not working. Dan has now overtaken Himes in several important categories, including those who are most likely to vote (+2), and leads independents (+19 at 47-28). Overwhelmingly, voters in the district oppose Jim Himes’ support of the failed stimulus package, massive government bailouts and his record of voting 95 percent of the time with Nancy Pelosi and liberal Democrats. The trend is clear: the more voters learn about Jim Himes, the less they like him. The inverse is true for Dan.”
“As the mood of voters strongly trends Republican, Congressman Himes’ most recent decision to cast the deciding vote to adjourn Congress before voting on the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts has left Fairfield County families stranded again. It is clear Himes will continue to face an uphill battle against his own record, as key voting blocks keep breaking Dan’s way.”
Top Lines
- Dan Debicella and Jim Himes both garner 42% in our latest survey, with 14% undecided. This represents an improvement from our August poll, where Himes led Dan by a 42%-38% score. Thus, Himes has been stuck at 42% for over a month, despite his barrage of negative attacks against Dan.
- Dan leads 47%-28% among voters with no party affiliation.
- Dan leads 44%-42% among voters who are most likely to turn out.
- Among voters who have heard of both candidates, Dan leads 45%-42%. Among voters who have an opinion of both candidates, Dan leads 53%-38%.
- The Republican leads the generic ballot, 43%-41%.
- By a 50%-40% margin, voters prefer a Republican to provide a check and balance to the Speaker and the President, rather than a Democrat who will support their programs.
- The Bottom Line: For the ballot to be tied at this stage is a testament to Dan and the kind of candidate he is. He has clearly weathered a significant assault, courtesy of Himes and DCCC, and he is in a stronger position than ever.
- Beyond Dan’s strengths, is the fact that the overall national political environment favors Republicans, and actually continues to grow more strongly in our favor.
- National Research Inc. conducted a telephone survey in Connecticut’s 4th Congressional District on September 27-28, 2010. The survey was conducted among 300 likely voters and has a margin of error of +/- 5.66% in 95 out of 100 cases. 36% of the sample are registered Democrats, 34% are registered Republicans and 30% are registered unaffiliated/undeclared voters.
- National Research Inc. is a national political and corporate polling firm, whose client list includes New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, Congressman Leonard Lance, and Republican candidates and officeholders throughout the country.
